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49ers attend Leeds United talks in New York as motive for £170m takeover now clear

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Leeds United and 49ers Enterprises have bet big in the Championship casino and, touch wood, are about to take their seat at an even higher stakes table, the Premier League.

When the investment arm of the San Francisco 49ers first acquired a stake in Leeds back in 2018, they knew they were buying an oven-ready top-flight club, albeit one that needed a fair whack of seasoning.

That initial 30 per cent investment was always intended to be a stalking horse for a full takeover.

The American firm – backed by a combination of celebrity investors and quiet but uber-wealthy venture capitalists – are long-term operators. If they needed to sit on their asset for a while, so be it.

Leeds United FC v Burnley FC - Sky Bet Championship
Photo by George Wood/Getty Images

In the end, Andrea Radrizzani exited Elland Road with a very healthy profit, turning his attention and resources to repeating the capital appreciation trick at Sampdoria and expanding his multi-club empire.

For their part, the 49ers have grander ambitions thank the Italian was capable of realising. First the Championship, then the Premier League, then the world.

There is no good reason why Leeds can’t repeat what Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest or even sovereign wealth-backed Newcastle United are doing in the top flight.

In fact, there’s a good argument to suggest that they are coming at the problem of unseating the Premier League’s ‘Big Six’ aristocracy from a higher base than some of the other challenger clubs.

“It’s an extraordinary opportunity…”

– Kieran Maguire, speaking exclusively to LeedsUnited.News

In the era of Profit and Sustainability Rules (PSR), you’re only as ambitious as your bottom line allows you to be. You spend what you earn, or thereabouts.

Leeds’ commercial revenue, their matchday income and their geography are the envy of most clubs in Europe. And with the 49ers’ takeover of Rangers pending, they will soon have a very useful sister club too.

The flipside, of course, is that some of the costs of success on the pitch will be passed on to Leeds fans.

Chart showing Leeds United commercial income vs Premier League clubs
Leeds United commercial income vs Premier League clubs Credit: Adam Williams/LeedsUnited.News/GRV Media

Even at an expanded Elland Road, ticket prices will continue to rise, the emphasis on premium hospitality sector will sharpen, and there is a risk of something of the club’s identity being obscured.

That is what you sign up for when you get into bed with an investment group like the 49ers, who cut their teeth in money-printing US franchise sport and whose ultimate end goal is capital, not glory.

Whether that trade-off is worth it is for supporters to decide, though nearly everyone at Newcastle and Villa – whose fans have been asked to share the burden as far as PSR is concerned – would argue that it is.

But with Daniel Farke’s side almost reinstated to the cradle of the Premier League, the optimism in both the boardroom and on the terraces in West Yorkshire is registering on the Richter scale.

Position Team Played MP Won W Drawn D Lost L For GF Against GA Diff GD Points Pts
1 LeedsLeeds42 25 13 4 82 29 53 88
2 BurnleyBurnley42 24 16 2 57 13 44 88
3 Sheff UtdSheffield Utd42 26 7 9 57 33 24 83
4 SunderlandSunderland42 21 13 8 57 38 19 76

The 49ers’ plans to capitalise on their first season as majority shareholders in English football’s big time have been ready to roll for some time now.

And developments in recent days illustrate the scale of the owners’ financial ambitions in the Premier League.

Leeds United send delegation to explore US commercial expansion

With the Red Bull association, Leeds are already part of a multi-club network of sorts.

And with 49ers signalling their own multi-club ambitions distinct from the minority partners, there is significant scope for international expansion, both in football and commercial terms.

Updated map showing the Red Bull network, including Leeds United and Paris FC

With the latter, the United States is the lowest hanging fruit. It’s a huge market with a less resistance to higher merchandise and ticket prices and a significant existing Leeds diaspora.

Paraag Marathe is well aware of the opportunities in America. Any ambitious club worth its salt has its eyes on the market and is looking to capitalise with brand-building pre-season tours and other initiatives.

As reported by Matt Hughes for City AM, owners from 20 US-owned English clubs – a contingent that includes Leeds – attended a summit in New York last week.

The talks were held with the EFL’s US commercial and media partner Relevant Sports, one of the stakeholders pushing to stage some domestic matches on the other side of the Atlantic.

Amon the discussion topics were plans for future media rights, with both the EFL and Premier League’s US TV deals up for renewal in 2028.

It is said that figureheads from the worlds of investment and sponsorship also spoke with clubs.

For Leeds, the increasing emphasis on the American market is significant.

For the 49ers’ £170m investment in the club to be viable, it is relying on the TV money from the US continuing to flow, while Stateside commercial revenues are their biggest outside the UK.

With the expanded Club World Cup in America this summer, the international World Cup in 2026, and growing interest in the game from US investors and fans alike, the size of the pie will only increase.

Kieran Maguire: 49ers have an ‘extraordinary opportunity’ with Leeds in the Premier League

Leeds released their accounts for the last financial year earlier this month and, at first glance, they don’t make pretty reading.

A £61m loss was enough to dodge the EFL’s PSR enforcers, but the fact is that the club hasn’t had a single profitable season since 2016-17, and even that financial year represented only a very modest surplus.

Chart showing profit and loss of Leeds United
Leeds United profit and loss chart Credit: Adam Williams/LeedsUnited.News/GRV Media

This state of affairs isn’t at all uncommon in the Premier League or the Championship, where clubs are banking on some sort of quantum leap in terms of revenue be sustainably profitable.

Where exactly that extra turnover will come from isn’t entirely clear, though investors clearly think commercial expansion the markets like the US and beyond is a big part of the tapestry.

Some experts thing club valuations are a speculative bubble which will burst when the market realises the prices for clubs like Leeds have surpassed their inherent value.

Others, like University of Liverpool football finance lecturer Kieran Maguire, are more optimistic.

“Everything is focused on promotion at Leeds,” Maguire said in exclusive conversation with LeedsUnited.News.

“They still have substantial investment in players. They have got one of if not the most expensive squad in the Championship. They still had a squad at the end of June 2024 that cost £281m.

The Marching On Together sign in the Leeds tunnel.
Photo by Adam Fradgley/West Bromwich Albion FC via Getty Images

“Subsequent to that, some players have gone. There was still substantial investment at the end of that financial year, so you would expect another significant wage bill this season too.

“At the same time, look at the positives. Matchday income was higher in the Championship than it was in the Premier League. Commercial income of £43m would put Leeds in the top half of the Premier League, probably 7th or 8th.

“That is why the 49ers are willing to put cash in to fund the losses. They see the potential of Leeds, ideally – from their point of view – a 55,000 or 60,000-capacity stadium.

Infographic showing Leeds United's stadium capacity and how much matchday income they earned at Elland Road in the last financial year.

“They are on course to monetise those opportunities and realise the value of Leeds as a global brand.

“It doesn’t have the same commercial appear as the behemoths of the Premier League but there is an ex-pat fanbase who are phenomenally loyal, and that is a platform to generate success going forward.

“Also, we are moving to a period when a quarter of Premier League clubs are going to be in the Champions League. We will be looking at eight clubs in Europe on a regular basis. That’s an extraordinary opportunity.”