Leeds United have one key advantage in their hunt for Premier League survival, according to TalkSport pundit Jeff Stelling.
Daniel Farke has transformed Leeds’ hopes of achieving Premier League safety in the space of a week as he inspired his side to four points from three difficult games.
This prompted Jeff Stelling and Gabriel Agbonlahor to back Leeds to stay in the top flight, ahead of fellow relegation candidates Wolves, Burnley and West Ham.
The vast majority of Leeds’ points this season have come at home, with Elland Road proving to be the fortress the Whites needed it to be, following their promotion from the Championship.
Now, Stelling has explained why the Elland Road crowd will be a crucial asset for Farke at the end of the season, as Leeds eye Premier League safety.
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Having relieved some of the pressure surrounding his Leeds future, Farke is now tasked with turning a good week into a prolonged run of good form.
According to Stelling, Farke still has one ace up his sleeve in the relegation fight, as Leeds can look forward to several home games against their relegation rivals in the closing weeks of the season.
Speaking on TalkSport Breakfast, Stelling said: “If it comes down to the crunch, one of the reasons I think Leeds will stay up, I looked at their last eight games.
“Now, look, it’s light years away from those last eight games, right? But on paper, at least, within those last eight games, you know, you mentioned the home form.
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“So within the last eight games, they have Brentford at home, Wolves at home, Burnley at home, and then West Ham away on the last game of the season.
“And for me, if the chips are down, then I see Leeds coming through those last eight games.”
How does Leeds’ home record compare to their relegation rivals?
If the Premier League table was based on home form alone, Leeds would have no worries over relegation, as they currently sit 13th in the table, with 12 points from eight home games.
Extrapolated over an entire season, this puts Leeds on 29 points from their home 19 games, giving them more than a fighting chance of survival.
In another boost for Farke and his Leeds side, the other four teams in the Premier League’s bottom five occupy the bottom four places in the home form table, after 15 matchweeks.
Home Records of the Premier League’s bottom five:
| Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points | Projected Points at Home |
| Leeds United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 29 |
| Burnley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| Nottm Forest | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| West Ham | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
| Wolves | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
Wolves are bottom, having taken just one point at home this season. West Ham are second bottom with six points, closely behind Nottingham Forest and Burnley, who have both taken just seven points.
None of Leeds’ relegation rivals currently average more than a point per game at home. If Leeds can improve their away form, they should be able to avoid the worst of the relegation dogfight comfortably.
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